Autonomous driving depends on perception systems to understand the environment and to inform downstream decision-making. While advanced perception systems utilizing black-box Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) demonstrate human-like comprehension, their unpredictable behavior and lack of interpretability may hinder their deployment in safety critical scenarios. In this paper, we develop an Ensemble of DNN regressors (Deep Ensemble) that generates predictions with quantification of prediction uncertainties. In the scenario of Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC), we employ the Deep Ensemble to estimate distance headway to the lead vehicle from RGB images and enable the downstream controller to account for the estimation uncertainty. We develop an adaptive cruise controller that utilizes Stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) with chance constraints to provide a probabilistic safety guarantee. We evaluate our ACC algorithm using a high-fidelity traffic simulator and a real-world traffic dataset and demonstrate the ability of the proposed approach to effect speed tracking and car following while maintaining a safe distance headway. The out-of-distribution scenarios are also examined.

This paper focuses on safety performance testing and characterization of black-box highly automated vehicles (HAV). Existing testing approaches typically obtain the testing outcomes by deploying the HAV into a specific testing environment. Such a testing environment can involve various passively given testing strategies presented by other traffic participants such as (i) the naturalistic driving policy learned from human drivers, (ii) extracted concrete scenarios from real-world driving data, and (iii) model-based or data-driven adversarial testing methodologies focusing on forcing safety-critical events. The safety performance of HAV is further characterized by analyzing the obtained testing outcomes with a particular selected measure, such as the observed collision risk. The aforementioned testing practices suffer from the scarcity of safety-critical events, have limited operational design domain (ODD) coverage, or are biased toward long-tail unsafe cases. This paper presents a novel and informative testing strategy that differs from these existing practices. The proposal is inspired by the intuition that a relatively safer HAV driving policy would allow the traffic vehicles to exhibit a higher level of aggressiveness to achieve a certain fixed level of an overall safe outcome. One can specifically characterize such a HAV and traffic interactive strategy and use it as a safety performance indicator for the HAV. Under the proposed testing scheme, the HAV is evaluated under its full ODD with a reward function that represents a trade-off between safety and adversity in generating safety-critical events. The proposed methodology is demonstrated in simulation with various HAV designs under different operational design domains.

Driver process models play a central role in the testing, verification, and development of automated and autonomous vehicle technologies. Prior models developed from control theory and physics-based rules are limited in automated vehicle applications due to their restricted behavioral repertoire. Data-driven machine learning models are more capable than rule-based models but are limited by the need for large training datasets and their lack of interpretability, i.e., an understandable link between input data and output behaviors. We propose a novel car following modeling approach using active inference, which has comparable behavioral flexibility to data-driven models while maintaining interpretability. We assessed the proposed model, the Active Inference Driving Agent (AIDA), through a benchmark analysis against the rule-based Intelligent Driver Model, and two neural network Behavior Cloning models. The models were trained and tested on a real-world driving dataset using a consistent process. The testing results showed that the AIDA predicted driving controls significantly better than the rule-based Intelligent Driver Model and had similar accuracy to the data-driven neural network models in three out of four evaluations. Subsequent interpretability analyses illustrated that the AIDA's learned distributions were consistent with driver behavior theory and that visualizations of the distributions could be used to directly comprehend the model's decision making process and correct model errors attributable to limited training data. The results indicate that the AIDA is a promising alternative to black-box data-driven models and suggest a need for further research focused on modeling driving style and model training with more diverse datasets.